Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004634 0.005095 0.005592 0.006170 0.006824 0.007544 0.008401
2025-09-28 0.003812 0.004435 0.005156 0.006060 0.007172 0.008508 0.010252
2025-10-05 0.003380 0.004081 0.004933 0.006056 0.007520 0.009391 0.012013
2025-10-12 0.003119 0.003879 0.004840 0.006162 0.007972 0.010413 0.014051
2025-10-19 0.002852 0.003633 0.004650 0.006100 0.008166 0.011084 0.015671
2025-10-26 0.002640 0.003433 0.004494 0.006055 0.008359 0.011752 0.017360
2025-11-02 0.002446 0.003238 0.004322 0.005960 0.008458 0.012275 0.018880
2025-11-09 0.002315 0.003116 0.004238 0.005980 0.008720 0.013067 0.020947
2025-11-16 0.002175 0.002972 0.004109 0.005915 0.008836 0.013629 0.022692
2025-11-23 0.002035 0.002815 0.003948 0.005783 0.008827 0.013972 0.024083
2025-11-30 0.001958 0.002746 0.003913 0.005845 0.009138 0.014895 0.026720
2025-12-07 0.001907 0.002713 0.003927 0.005984 0.009591 0.016124 0.030188
2025-12-14 0.001794 0.002580 0.003784 0.005863 0.009594 0.016557 0.032159
2025-12-21 0.001693 0.002462 0.003657 0.005758 0.009621 0.017046 0.034383
2025-12-28 0.001622 0.002386 0.003592 0.005754 0.009831 0.017924 0.037692
2026-01-04 0.001577 0.002348 0.003586 0.005854 0.010246 0.019280 0.042490
2026-01-11 0.001506 0.002265 0.003499 0.005796 0.010344 0.019972 0.045760
2026-01-18 0.001444 0.002191 0.003423 0.005753 0.010466 0.020733 0.049414
2026-01-25 0.001378 0.002109 0.003327 0.005664 0.010483 0.021255 0.052525
2026-02-01 0.001335 0.002062 0.003289 0.005683 0.010728 0.022348 0.057649
2026-02-08 0.001282 0.001996 0.003213 0.005622 0.010793 0.023014 0.061644
2026-02-15 0.001224 0.001917 0.003110 0.005498 0.010708 0.023291 0.064450
2026-02-22 0.001195 0.001889 0.003098 0.005556 0.011037 0.024688 0.071571